Haven’t checked my overall record in the last couple of weeks, but I think I’m around 55% for the year. Not great, but a helluva lot better than the college picks over at Football Outsiders. If you’ve seen those choices, well I hope you’ve gotten rich going against them. This week I didn’t find a single 4 star game this week, but there are some good 3 star selections.
3 star Texas Tech (+17) vs. Texas
3 star Iowa (-2.5) vs. Michigan
3 star Northwestern (+12.5) vs. Mich. St.
2 star Indiana (+15.5) vs. Ohio St.
2 star Tennessee (+4) vs. Alabama
In a battle of the unbeaten, the talent-level definitely skews towards Texas, but the coaching of Leach should overcome some of this disparity. Tech gets off fast and the game ends up going down to the end.
Next to USC, Iowa has been the best home team in football the past 3 years. They have a far superior coach to Carr and the Hawkeyes have been great the last 5 games of the year under Ferentz.
If Ferentz isn’t the best coach in the Big 10, Northwestern’s Randy Walker is. Last week, Spartans coach John Smith had a national television breakdown and I think they will struggle after last week’s disappointing loss.
Another good coach in the Big 10 is Indiana’s Terry Hoeppner, who has the Hoosiers playing with a purpose. Ohio State has underachieved this season, as Tressel’s offensive style doesn’t fit his personnel. Buckeyes win by 10.
I still don’t believe in Alabama and even though I’m not a fan of Fullmer, the Vols shouldn’t be an underdog. Take the points.
3 star Houston (+15) vs. Indianapolis
3 star New Orleans (+3) vs. St. Louis
2 star San Francisco (+13) vs. Washington
2 star San Diego (+3.5) vs. Philadephia
Many of my favorite gambling rules favor the Texans, as I’m a big believer in going against home teams after Monday Night who are on the road the next week. Add to this a team who gets bombed on the road the week before like the Texans, usually get a few more points. I can only remember a couple of times that a NFL home team is this big of an underdog. Sure Carr and his offensive line are the ultimate sack givers, but Freeney is not 100%. This should be my first 5 star game of the year, but come on, am I going to this big of a bet on the Texans, especially against the best team in the NFL? 3 stars.
I might be the only person on the planet that has been right on the Saints and with the Rams off a Monday Night, without their QB and Head Coach, I see New Orleans winning outright.
Another crappy team (49ers), but the Redskins should never be 13 point favs over anyone in the league.
The AFC is the superior conference and even though they are on the road in what should be colder weather this Sunday, San Diego will run the ball well, while Brees played college football in cold weather, so they will withstand it. Once again, let’s all say it together— The NFC SUCKS! Now doesn’t that feel better.